Week in Review
- Over the weekend, Han Wenxiu, a member of the Central Committee for Financial and Economic Affairs, spoke about the Central Economic Work Conference (CEWC) release, stating that “the government should be cautious about unveiling policies that could trigger contraction,” which might suggest a dialing back on internet regulation.
- Weibo HK was off -9.62%, which is a loss of 792mm in market cap, after being fined a minuscule RMB 3mm ($471k) by the State Cyberspace Office. The market’s reaction considering the tiny size of the fine highlights the fragile state of the space on Tuesday.
- According to the Financial Times, which cited unnamed sources, the US Commerce Department is expected to update its export technology ban list on Thursday to include several private companies and potentially some biotech names on Wednesday.
- Trip.com (TCOM US) reported fiscal Q4 financial results on Thursday prior to the US open today. I am a little surprised that costs increased though the analysts seemed to be impressed by the company’s result.
Asian equities had a rough end to a rough week. Volumes surged, being driven by FTSE Russell and S&P index rebalances along with Quad Witching. Quad Witching is the quarterly event of index and stock options and futures expiring today.
Yesterday’s US tech wreck set the tone while news headlines weren’t helpful as Asian investors digested the US export ban, which didn’t include biotech firm Beigene, which fell -2.41% overnight. What’s the consequence for the Financial Times which reported the company would be on the ban leading to the stock falling -7.66% on Wednesday?
Both Hong Kong and the Mainland were off today as growth stocks/sectors were lower versus value stocks/sectors as the Hang Seng -1.21% while the Shanghai -1.16%, Shenzhen -1.41%, and STAR Board -1.88%. Elements of the clean energy ecosystem held up along with gold stocks though it was an ugly day. The only positive I can find is Tencent -3.23% had the largest inflow day via Southbound Stock Connect since September 28th while Meituan -5.29% had a small net buy from Mainland investors.
Hong Kong internet had an off day as several brokers were left scratching their heads on today’s price action. On big index rebalance days we shouldn’t overly read too much into the price action in my opinion. Foreign investors sold $1029B of mainland stocks though for the week foreign investors bought $1.801B of Mainland stocks this week. Mainland bonds rallied, CNY was off versus the US $ and copper gained.
After the close, the CSRC put out another release stating they will continue to work with the SEC and PCAOB to solve the issue of US-listed Chinese companies’ non-compliance to the Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act. The CSRC stated, “At present, the relevant regulatory agencies of China and the United States are negotiating on the cooperation of audit supervision, and some positive progress has been made.” Fingers crossed!
Alibaba held its investor day yesterday and today. As it is still occurring as I write, we’ll do a proper write-up on Monday. Chairman and CEO Daniel Zhang acknowledged the company faces increased competition. How is the company going to drive growth? Increasing user growth in China’s smaller cities, share of wallet expansion, and value creation. Growing outside of China was a big emphasis in addition to the growth of cloud computing. More to come from an exceedingly well-produced event.
The CSRC, China’s regulator, noted that Mainland investors won’t be allowed to trade through Northbound Stock Connect. The CSRC noted that the number of Mainland investors using Northbound Stock Connect is small though I don’t understand why a Mainland investor would use Connect.
Evergrande’s April 2022 bond gained +$0.07 to $21.80 while the Evergrande June 2025 declined -$0.11 to $19.20. I also noticed that Ping An Healthcare and Technology (1833 HK) filed after the close to buy 56mm shares.
Last Night’s Exchange Rates, Prices, & Yields
- CNY/USD 6.38 versus 6.37 yesterday
- CNY/EUR 7.22 versus 7.21 yesterday
- Yield on 10-Year Government Bond 2.85% versus 2.86% yesterday
- Yield on 10-Year China Development Bank Bond 3.09% versus 3.09% yesterday
- Copper Price +1.97% overnight